Wednesday, February 10, 2016

NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook



Hazardous Weather Outlook


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
WED FEB 10 2016

WIND CHILLS WILL BE BELOW ZERO FOR ALL OF SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. 

LOW TEMPERATURES OF 0 TO 5 ABOVE COMBINED WITH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH COULD PRODUCE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 15 TO 20 BELOW AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY.

WNYC: "The Flooding No One Saw Coming




Parts of Queens were inundated with a stronger-than-expected storm surge Monday morning, which took many residents and Mayor Bill de Blasio by surprise.
“We found out, obviously, as it was happening. It was not expected from the original reports,” de Blasio said on Monday afternoon, adding that his office relies on information from the National Weather Service.
 “They would be the first to say they gave us the best information they had but sometimes on the ground things happen differently,” de Blasio said.
Photos posted to Twitter showed residential streets inundated with water, high enough to half-cover the wheels of parked cars.
A National Weather Service flood gauge on Jamaica Bay recorded a tide of nearly seven feet, which is counted as “moderate” flooding. The NWS issued a coastal flood warning for the Bronx, but not for Queens.
A spokesperson for the mayor said in an email that the Mayor’s Office of Emergency Management warned local leaders in Queens that there could be high waters.
Nelson Vaz, a National Weather Service meteorologist, said predicting flooding can be a complex science, and his office expected a smaller surge. But Tuesday morning looks likely to bring a repeat of Monday's high waters when the tide peaks around 7:30 to 8 a.m.
"I would say you're looking at water levels that are 2-3 feet above normal" Vaz said.

Coastal Flooding Peaks on West 12th Road

.[UPDATED AT 9:30 A.M.]


Peak High Tide at 9:30 a.m. on West 12th Road.  Tidal height was significantly lower this morning than our previous two morning (Monday/Tuesday) high tides.



With peak high tide still over 1 hour away, at 8:10 a,m, the flooding on W12th Road has risen considerably since starting at 7:30 a.m.


At 7:30 a.m. tidal flooding is once again rapidly encroaching upon West 12th Road in advance of a 6.3' high tide at 9:30 am later this morning with an expected tidal departure of 1 to 2 feet.

This morning's high tide will be the 5th consecutive high tide cycle we have had to deal with over the past two and half days .

Coldest Air of Winter Arrives this Weekend...Be Prepared!



I know by now you are all sick and tired of dealing with the problems related to the continual coastal flooding we have been experiencing over the past several days but you should be aware that the coldest air of the winter thus far will reach Broad Channel this Valentine's Day weekend with accompanying frigid temperatures.  Saturday's temperatures will be as low as 2 degrees (F)!

The cold air will be dangerous for those spending time outdoors not properly dressed.  In addition to to the dangers of frostbite and hypothermia, the magnitude of the approaching cold air can also cause unprotected domestic water lines to freeze and possibly burst.  

Back on January 24, 2011, JFK recorded a low temperature of 6 degrees Fahrenheit with 28 mph winds and a wind chill of -18 degrees.  There were dozens of Broad Channel residents who found that their domestic water system lines had frozen and then had to spend hours dealing with the problem of thawing the frozen lines and the possible expensive repair scenario of a burst water line!

There are a few common sense things we can all do to prevent the problem of freezing pipes from occurring again during this coming cold snap.

Most importantly, make sure you have an adequate supply of home heating fuel on hand prior to the arrival of the approaching cold air mass and maintain your thermostat at no lower than 65 degrees.

Allow your faucets to run slightly as a steady trickle. (Note: Make sure the entire family knows that you are dripping the faucet intentionally to avoid a family member from inadvertently shutting it off entirely.)

Open sink base cabinets and let warmer room air circulate through the interior of the cabinet.

Wrap the problem pipe with electrical heat tape.

Insulate the problem pipe(s) with foam insulation wrap, especially those that run through unheated spaces.

Temper any currently unheated crawlspace by placing a heater in the crawlspace. You only need to elevate the crawlspace temperature to modestly above freezing - about 40°F.

Make sure all outside water bibs are covered/insulated.

Stay Safe....Stay Warm

NWS issues Special Weather Statement



Event:Special Weather Statement
Alert:
...SNOW THIS MORNING... 
 
A STEADY LIGHT SNOW WILL FALL THROUGH SUNRISE AND INTO THE MORNING 
RUSH. ALTHOUGH SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE LOW...THE SNOW WILL STICK TO 
ROADS AND WALKWAYS...PARTICULARLY THOSE THAT ARE UNTREATED... 
RESULTING IN SLIPPERY CONDITIONS. EXTRA CAUTION SHOULD BE USED IF 
TRAVELING THIS MORNING.

Tuesday, February 9, 2016

NWS Updated Coastal Flood Advisory


Updated at 2:15 am, Wednesday, February 10th, 2016
Event:Coastal Flood Advisory
Alert:
...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TODAY... 
 
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS 
MORNING TO NOON EST TODAY... 
 
* LOCATIONS...COASTAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF NASSAU... 
QUEENS AND SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK...NEW YORK HARBOR...NEWARK BAY... 
 
THE KILLS...AND TIDALLY AFFECTED PORTIONS OF THE HACKENSACK AND 
PASSAIC RIVERS. 
 
* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. 
 
* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. 
 
* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE 
SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR 
WAVE SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY 
ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND 
ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL. 
 
...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING... 
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD..... 
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY.. 
 
...................................(MLLW)...................... 
 
THE BATTERY NYC.....912 AM.........6.5-7.0...........NONE...... 
BERGEN POINT NY.....912 AM.........7.0-7.5...........MINOR..... 
 
...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS MORNING... 
COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD..... 
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY.. 
 
.................................(MLLW/NGVD)................... 
FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....927 AM.....5.0-5.6/4.2-4.8......MINOR.... 
POINT LOOKOUT NY......847 AM.....5.5-6.0/.............MINOR.... 
JAMAICA BAY NY........929 AM.....7.6-8.1/.............MINOR.... 
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....849 AM.....7.0-7.5/.............MINOR.... 
E ROCKAWAY NY.........842 AM.....6.4-6.9/.............MINOR.... 
LINDENHURST NY.......1110 AM.....2.9-3.3/.............MINOR....
Instructions:A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

NWS issues Coastal Flood Advisory



Coastal Flood Advisory


COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1237 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL IMPACTS EXPECTED TONIGHT...
...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NYZ080-178-179-100500-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SU.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160209T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0010.160210T0100Z-160210T0500Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1237 PM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH SURF
ADVISORY.

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF
  NASSAU...QUEENS AND SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 1/2 TO 2 1/2 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
  TONIGHT.

* TIMING...MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED
  WITH TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE CYCLES. MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE
  COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITH WEDNESDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE
  CYCLE.

* COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE
  SHORE ROADS AND/OR BASEMENTS DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED
  CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT
  ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.......FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/NGVD).................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....906 PM.....5.5-6.0/4.7-5.2......MODERATE.
POINT LOOKOUT NY......830 PM.....5.9-6.4/.............MINOR....
JAMAICA BAY NY........908 PM.....7.6-8.1/.............MINOR....
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....828 PM.....7.2-7.7/.............MINOR....
E ROCKAWAY NY.........824 PM.....6.2-6.7/.............MINOR....
LINDENHURST NY.......1049 PM.....3.3-3.8/.............MODERATE.

NWS issues Winter Weather Advisory for tonight through Wednesday morning



Winter Weather Advisory


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
432 AM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...STEADY SNOW WILL RETURN TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING...

NJZ006-105>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-092200-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.160209T2300Z-160210T1700Z/
HUDSON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
432 AM EST TUE FEB 9 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...ADJACENT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
  JERSEY...AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

NBC News Van on W12th Road


At 10:30 am as the tidal waters recede, the NBC News Van has once again taken up residence on West 12th Road.

Peak High Tide on West 12th Road




This morning's high tide has peaked at 8:45 am with some 26 inches of water in the street at the end of the block, slightly less than yesterday's 28 inches of flooding.


The myriad of vehicles which were totalled as a result of yesterday morning's unexpected coastal flooding  remain parked on W12th Road awaiting tow attesting to the economic losses that will be sustained by residents.


Street flooding ran all the way up to the Stop sign at the corner of W12th Road and Cross Bay Boulevard.

As an aside, please don't forget that the National Weather Service has also issued a Winter Weather Advisory for our area calling for some 3 to 5 inches of snow starting this evening through tomorrow morning.

Additionally, minor to moderate coastal flooding is also expected to accompany this evening's 9 pm high tide as well as tomorrow (Wednesday) morning's 9:30 am high tide.